{"id":264,"date":"2023-03-25T10:42:47","date_gmt":"2023-03-25T14:42:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/?p=264"},"modified":"2023-03-25T12:32:47","modified_gmt":"2023-03-25T16:32:47","slug":"mississippi-tornadoes-of-march-24-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/mississippi-tornadoes-of-march-24-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Mississippi Tornadoes of March 24, 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A quick and very unorganized collection of data &amp; photos from the devastating tornadoes that struck after dark on March 24.  As of 9 a.m. on the 25th, at least 23 are dead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Large-scale environment<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Even in model runs from Thursday night (24 hours before the event), there was high confidence of sufficient CAPE and shear for organized storms in west and southwest MS &#8212; with the favorable environment expected to translate eastward as the night went on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/sbcape_prob_series.conus_.f02700.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/sbcape_prob_series.conus_.f02700-1024x792.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-265\" width=\"512\" height=\"396\" srcset=\"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/sbcape_prob_series.conus_.f02700-1024x792.png 1024w, https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/sbcape_prob_series.conus_.f02700-300x232.png 300w, https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/sbcape_prob_series.conus_.f02700-768x594.png 768w, https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/sbcape_prob_series.conus_.f02700.png 1050w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 512px) 100vw, 512px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With considerable veering in the typical tornado-bearing layer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/srh01_mean.conus_.f02700.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/srh01_mean.conus_.f02700-1024x792.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-266\" width=\"512\" height=\"396\" srcset=\"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/srh01_mean.conus_.f02700-1024x792.png 1024w, https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/srh01_mean.conus_.f02700-300x232.png 300w, https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/srh01_mean.conus_.f02700-768x594.png 768w, https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/srh01_mean.conus_.f02700.png 1050w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 512px) 100vw, 512px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Weather balloon launched in Oak Grove, MS, while the first non-tornadic supercell was moving through central MS, but before the tornadic storms developed:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Balloon 6 in Oak Grove <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/lawx?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#lawx<\/a> at 21:58Z <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NWSSPC?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@NWSSPC<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NWSJacksonMS?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@NWSJacksonMS<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NWSShreveport?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@NWSShreveport<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ULMweather?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@ULMweather<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/JJTjwRQTvV\">pic.twitter.com\/JJTjwRQTvV<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Isaiah Montgomery (@GumryWX) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GumryWX\/status\/1639402849850277888?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 24, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Thanks to the staff at WFO-Jackson, we have data from a very rare 3Z sounding.  With an EHI greater than 3, this environment lands squarely in a parameter space for large, damaging, deadly tornadoes.  The second image below is a set of F2-F5 tornado cases collected by Jon Davies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/JAN.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"717\" src=\"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/JAN-1024x717.gif\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-267\" srcset=\"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/JAN-1024x717.gif 1024w, https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/JAN-300x210.gif 300w, https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/JAN-768x538.gif 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/SRH-CAPE_compare_031721_032521_042711.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"588\" height=\"640\" src=\"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/SRH-CAPE_compare_031721_032521_042711.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-268\" srcset=\"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/SRH-CAPE_compare_031721_032521_042711.jpg 588w, https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/SRH-CAPE_compare_031721_032521_042711-276x300.jpg 276w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 588px) 100vw, 588px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">From http:\/\/davieswx.blogspot.com\/2021\/04\/march-25-2021-deadly-tornado-outbreak.html <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Storm structure<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At Rolling Fork, the radar presentation of strong rotation and debris lofted high into the atmosphere suggested a violent tornado.  We&#8217;ll wait for the damage survey to confirm:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">What was almost certainly a strong to violent tornado just impacted Rolling Fork, MS a few minutes ago, lofting debris above 30,000 feet(!) and producing a strong, long-lived velocity couplet above 80 kt, all of which point to an extremely high-caliber tornado <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/mswx?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#mswx<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/72ZupKNPib\">pic.twitter.com\/72ZupKNPib<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Sam Emmerson (@ou_sams) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ou_sams\/status\/1639438883468324865?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 25, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Matt saved this velocity data showing the development of the third tornado (Amory \/ Smithville):<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Clean tornadogenesis. Third strong\/violent tornado with this mesocyclone, I think? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/mswx?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#mswx<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/tRCTi333v7\">pic.twitter.com\/tRCTi333v7<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Matt Flournoy, PhD (@mattnado) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/mattnado\/status\/1639474685065961475?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 25, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">(Added&#8230;) And Sam&#8217;s statistical analysis of the Amory storm&#8217;s radar\/debris signature:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The extremely intense tornado that impacted Amory and Smithville, MS overnight produced a historically intense velocity couplet (115 kt Vrot, #8 all-time in my database), which easily places it in EF3+ territory when coupled with a peak TDS height around 21k feet <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/mswx?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#mswx<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/plAtjhpy5u\">pic.twitter.com\/plAtjhpy5u<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Sam Emmerson (@ou_sams) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ou_sams\/status\/1639645276225916928?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 25, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A view from infrared radar of the first tornadic storm, and also the supercell that had already developed and moved north of Jackson (no tornado there, though).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Satellite view of the storm that produced the destructive tornado in Rolling Fork, Mississippi. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/YJNYEDVdht\">pic.twitter.com\/YJNYEDVdht<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CIRA (@CIRA_CSU) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CIRA_CSU\/status\/1639452262883000322?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 25, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Damage<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nighttime damage photos usually don&#8217;t give you a sense for how bad the damage really is, but they are our first quick look:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Horrific damage in Rolling Fork, MS. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/MSwx?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#MSwx<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/FxdBi409pV\">pic.twitter.com\/FxdBi409pV<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Ben McHone (@Tornado_Warned) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Tornado_Warned\/status\/1639514174551097346?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 25, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Photos the next morning provide the real clarity:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"zxx\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/UxdpuyNqry\">pic.twitter.com\/UxdpuyNqry<\/a><\/p>&mdash; wxfollower (@wxfollower) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/wxfollower\/status\/1639605752397430784?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 25, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And a drone view, from the morning after:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">First Light of Rolling Fork Mississippi after a Violent <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Tornado?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Tornado<\/a> last night. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/mswx?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#mswx<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/SevereStudios?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@SevereStudios<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MyRadarWX?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@MyRadarWX<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/NG0YcI3TQn\">pic.twitter.com\/NG0YcI3TQn<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Jordan Hall (@JordanHallWX) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHallWX\/status\/1639614835594866689?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 25, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A quick and very unorganized collection of data &amp; photos from the devastating tornadoes that struck after dark on March 24. As of 9 a.m. on the 25th, at least 23 are dead. Large-scale environment Even in model runs from Thursday night (24 hours before the event), there was high confidence of sufficient CAPE and &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/mississippi-tornadoes-of-march-24-2023\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Mississippi Tornadoes of March 24, 2023<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-264","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-weather"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/264","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=264"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/264\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":270,"href":"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/264\/revisions\/270"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=264"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=264"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/codykirkpatrick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=264"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}